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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.16+6.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+4.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+4.86vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.65+7.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78+6.47vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+2.61vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69+0.84vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04-1.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-2.05vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-2.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.44vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-7.31vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-4.12vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.76-2.61vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.02-8.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.58College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.39George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 16.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.8% |
| Camille McGriff | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Annie Buelt | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.3% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.