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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+6.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.64+3.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.61vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+3.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.04+2.53vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+0.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.78+5.28vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+5.49vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-0.50vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-2.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-4.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-4.86vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-8.33vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-5.33vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.65-3.21vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.76-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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5.46College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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8.85Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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14.49University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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12.44George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 42.9% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Annie Buelt | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.