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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+7.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+4.33vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+6.66vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+3.50vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+0.51vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-1.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.04+0.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.78+4.14vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.02-0.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.65+1.84vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.76+0.42vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.51-3.08vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.69-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.94-6.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-1.62vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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7.5Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.51College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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4.36Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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12.14U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.84University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.16University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 17.0% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 13.4% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 39.6% |
| Annie Buelt | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.