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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.94+6.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.02+5.78vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+1.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+1.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+3.91vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.69+2.17vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04-0.29vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.16-1.46vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.64-4.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+2.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.30vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-4.06vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.76-2.58vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-7.88vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.65-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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4.26Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.54Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.57College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Bornarth | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Kylie Castellano | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 18.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 41.3% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 14.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.