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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+5.31vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.69+7.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+5.17vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+3.43vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.02+2.06vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.73vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51+1.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78+3.59vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.11-5.78vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.04-2.98vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-2.28vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.98-4.85vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.76-1.43vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-0.67vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-8.42vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.65-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.13Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.17University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.43Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.59College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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4.22Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.57George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 13.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 18.3% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.3% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 41.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.