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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.81vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+8.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+6.53vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+5.02vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+3.48vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+4.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+2.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+0.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.25vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-2.08vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.17vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.13vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.46-6.75vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-5.98vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.54-4.57vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.38-8.98vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.0Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.53Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.92Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.43North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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17.65University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Brown | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 1.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 1.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.