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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+7.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+4.73vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+4.66vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43+1.67vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.68+3.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+0.60vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94+0.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.94vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.97vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.38-3.76vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.04-3.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.27vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-6.00vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.54-4.56vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.23-8.34vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston College3.070.0%1st Place
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7.73Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.67Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.85George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.71Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.24Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.44North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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17.65University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 0.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 0.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 1.4% |
| Jack Brown | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 93.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.