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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+7.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+6.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+5.90vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+3.63vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.06vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+2.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09+0.99vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-2.47vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.46-2.17vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.12vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-1.89vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.54-1.84vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.07-5.12vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.68-4.22vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.04-6.59vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-8.08vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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7.63Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.53Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.11Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.16North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.78George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.41Brown University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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17.66University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 0.8% |
| Scott Harris | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Matt Logue | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 93.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.