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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+7.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+5.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.46+3.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.97vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+2.51vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.38+0.86vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43-0.37vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07+0.19vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.68+1.02vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.99vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-1.90vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-3.41vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.04-5.07vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-5.36vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-6.86vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University2.54-5.52vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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7.47Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.86Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.63Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston College3.070.0%1st Place
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11.02George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.1Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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11.48North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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17.65University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 0.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 1.4% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 93.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.