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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+5.73vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+4.88vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.61vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+4.61vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+2.51vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+1.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.04vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.38-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-2.97vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-3.98vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.68-3.52vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.00-5.58vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.04-6.67vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University2.54-5.56vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.73Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.88Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.61Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.48George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.33Brown University3.040.0%1st Place
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11.44North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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17.65University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 1.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.