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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+6.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+5.96vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+3.56vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+4.60vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+4.82vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+2.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.64vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-0.03vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.46-3.34vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-2.13vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.38-5.30vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.46vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.07-5.93vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.54-4.55vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.94vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.56Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.6Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.82George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.25Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.66Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.45North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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17.66University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 1.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 0.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 1.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.