Race 1B

bu-bridge-invitational-central-ser

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cameron Fraser 16.3% 16.6% 12.0% 11.9% 11.2% 9.0% 6.9% 5.6% 4.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Andrew Meleny 14.7% 16.5% 13.5% 10.4% 10.2% 8.4% 8.5% 6.8% 3.8% 3.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Waldman 2.5% 1.9% 3.1% 3.8% 3.0% 4.8% 4.9% 4.1% 7.2% 8.1% 9.1% 11.3% 13.8% 13.8% 8.6%
Alexander Gestal 6.8% 7.1% 8.4% 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 9.1% 9.4% 8.0% 7.3% 7.6% 5.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Justin Marks 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 5.3% 4.6% 7.1% 6.6% 7.6% 10.5% 8.8% 10.2% 9.1% 8.4% 5.4% 2.0%
Gabriel Salk 13.9% 14.1% 12.4% 13.3% 11.7% 9.1% 8.0% 6.7% 4.8% 2.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 9.7% 7.4% 9.7% 8.9% 9.6% 9.9% 10.2% 8.3% 7.5% 6.6% 5.5% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Ames Lyman 3.4% 3.2% 3.7% 4.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 8.0% 7.7% 10.0% 9.1% 11.2% 11.4% 7.5% 3.4%
Benjmain Berg 3.8% 3.5% 4.3% 4.6% 5.8% 8.2% 6.9% 8.8% 8.9% 8.2% 10.1% 10.4% 9.0% 5.8% 1.7%
Christopher Cason 3.1% 3.4% 5.0% 6.0% 7.1% 5.8% 6.8% 8.1% 8.9% 10.0% 10.5% 8.3% 8.8% 5.8% 2.4%
Elizabeth Glivinski 12.9% 12.7% 12.5% 9.5% 9.4% 8.3% 8.7% 7.8% 6.1% 5.1% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Laura Cuccio 4.9% 4.7% 5.9% 8.5% 7.0% 7.2% 9.4% 9.1% 10.0% 10.3% 8.3% 6.7% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Nick Belsito 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.5% 2.0% 3.3% 4.1% 4.8% 5.2% 6.2% 9.4% 12.1% 14.1% 15.8% 13.9%
Moussa Diolombi 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 1.7% 3.4% 5.3% 5.9% 8.1% 9.2% 20.1% 36.6%
Benjamin King 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.1% 6.3% 5.3% 9.3% 11.2% 19.7% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.