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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+7.66vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+9.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+3.65vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+4.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.04+4.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.50vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.55vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68+1.60vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.09vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-1.36vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-2.33vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.46-5.76vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.93-4.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-5.49vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.81-5.83vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.07vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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11.44North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.65Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.45Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.64Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.24Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.18Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.17Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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17.65University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Wilson | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 1.1% |
| JC Hermus | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 0.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 0.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mais | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 0.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.