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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+7.61vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+5.73vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+8.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+4.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.85vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+3.40vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81+3.17vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.38-0.30vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.54+2.30vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.46-2.29vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.69-4.31vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.00vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.04-3.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-5.66vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.94-5.40vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-6.26vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-8.28vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.73Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.05George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.17Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.3North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.6Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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17.66University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 0.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 0.8% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 0.8% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 93.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.