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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+6.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+7.17vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+4.77vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+3.52vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+3.68vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+1.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.66vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.46-1.58vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.00-0.36vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University2.54+0.40vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.23-3.23vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-3.50vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.81-4.18vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-5.46vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-5.16vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.04-7.65vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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7.77Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.68Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.4North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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10.84George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.35Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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17.67University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Harris | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Brown | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.