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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+5.66vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+6.77vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54+6.97vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38+2.61vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.42vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81+1.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.43vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.68+0.83vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.00-1.55vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.50-0.39vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.46-5.74vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.23-6.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-6.28vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-6.42vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-7.40vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.66Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.77Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.97North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.61Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.26Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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17.64University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Scott Harris | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Weed | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 1.8% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 92.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.