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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+7.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.50+9.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+4.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.52vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.46+2.33vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+4.59vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.48vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.57vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University2.54+1.34vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-2.11vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.81-3.12vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.67vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.00-5.80vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.69-9.49vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-7.39vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.10-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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11.53Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.59George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.48Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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11.34North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.63Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.88Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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17.64University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 1.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.