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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+7.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+5.06vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+3.33vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+4.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.35vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+3.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+0.09vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.38-1.32vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.73vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-2.10vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-2.77vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.04-4.04vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University3.43-6.56vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.68-4.73vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.54-5.16vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.10-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.23Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.44Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.84North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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16.85University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Wilson | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 1.0% |
| Scott Harris | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 0.7% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 95.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.