← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.69+5.19vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University3.43+5.22vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.38+4.48vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.94+5.27vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.23+2.90vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.00+3.16vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.68+3.25vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.37vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.36vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.46-2.95vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.07-2.12vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University2.54-1.25vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.04-3.99vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-4.63vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-6.67vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-7.73vs Predicted
-
17University of Oregon-1.10-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.19Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.22Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.48Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.27Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.9College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.16Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
10.25George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.0%1st Place
-
7.05Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
8.88Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
10.75North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
-
9.01Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
-
16.85University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 0.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 95.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.