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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+5.91vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+5.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.43vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.11vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38+2.17vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.47vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94+2.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00+0.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.61vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-2.71vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.23-4.04vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.50-2.05vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.68-3.70vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.54-4.40vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.07-7.36vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.10-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.05Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.12Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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6.14Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.95Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.6North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.64Boston College3.070.0%1st Place
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16.84University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| JC Hermus | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brown | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 1.8% |
| Matt Logue | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 0.6% |
| Scott Harris | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.