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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+4.94vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+4.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+5.78vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+4.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.85vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.06vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.94+0.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.40vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.68-0.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-2.62vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.46-4.99vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.54-2.26vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.50-3.11vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.81-5.49vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.38-8.66vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.10-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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8.81Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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9.9George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.01Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.74North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.89Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.34Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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16.83University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Brown | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 0.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 1.8% |
| Tucker Weed | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 0.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 95.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.