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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+3.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+2.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+1.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.16+2.88vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.62+3.68vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.67+2.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-0.87vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.05+2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.04-1.76vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.48-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.71-2.63vs Predicted
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12Amherst College0.92-1.01vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.18-0.29vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.91vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-9.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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4.59Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.63Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.55Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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6.13Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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10.38Boston University1.050.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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9.19Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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8.37University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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10.99Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.71Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
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12.09Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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5.17Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 16.6% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Gestal | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Waldman | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 8.5% |
| Laura Cuccio | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Justin Marks | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.8% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 40.1% |
| Benjamin King | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.1% | 26.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.