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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+6.07vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+5.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+4.03vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+4.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+2.84vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.54+4.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+1.19vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.94+0.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00+0.03vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-0.65vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.69-4.66vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-3.02vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.23-4.99vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.50vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.50-4.26vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-5.87vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.10-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.03Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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10.74North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.83Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.74Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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16.85University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Wilson | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 0.6% |
| JC Hermus | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 1.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.4% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 95.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.