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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+5.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.29vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+6.05vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.46+3.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38+2.12vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+2.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+1.20vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.77vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.94vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.81-1.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.50-1.33vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-4.64vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.00-5.07vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.54-4.43vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-5.90vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.10-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.05Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.68Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.67Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.57North Carolina State University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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16.84University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 1.1% |
| Matt Logue | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 0.4% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 95.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.