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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+5.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+6.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+4.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+6.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.25+1.50vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.67vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.46+2.72vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-0.54vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-1.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+2.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-2.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-2.15vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.74-4.61vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.01-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.28-4.63vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-5.32vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.69-8.12vs Predicted
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18-2.48-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.72Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.12North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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10.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.0%1st Place
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8.88Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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17.84-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bayless | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 26.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Pierce | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 0.1% |
| Keiran James Golden | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 96.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.