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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+6.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.25+4.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+3.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+3.86vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74+3.47vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+1.57vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+0.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.42vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+0.50vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.46-0.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-2.30vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.69-2.85vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-2.55vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.62vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.28-4.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-3.56vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University2.01-5.41vs Predicted
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18-2.48-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.47George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.57Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.95Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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9.15Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.0%1st Place
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8.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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11.59North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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17.83-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Telmo Basterra | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Pierce | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Keiran James Golden | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 0.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Welker | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 23.7% | 1.0% |
| Adam Larson | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 0.6% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 96.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.