← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.74+7.77vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.09+5.35vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.89+5.20vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.99+3.45vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.22+1.64vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.56vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.01+0.45vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.58vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University2.70-0.33vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.06vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.50-1.34vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.13vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University2.01-1.72vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.97vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-4.42vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University2.46-6.26vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.28-6.43vs Predicted
-
18-2.48-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.77George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.35College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.2Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
7.45Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.64Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.45Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.42U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.67Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.66Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
-
11.28North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
-
12.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
-
10.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.74Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
-
10.57University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
-
17.85-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bayless | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 0.2% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 0.9% |
| Adam Larson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 0.6% |
| Luke Welker | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 21.7% | 0.8% |
| Keiran James Golden | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 0.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 96.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.