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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+3.40vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.05+8.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+1.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.48+5.05vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.04+2.38vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93-1.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.16-0.12vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.67+0.53vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.71-0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-4.75vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.39+1.17vs Predicted
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12Amherst College0.92-0.93vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.41-6.62vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.18-1.42vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.62-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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10.24Boston University1.050.0%1st Place
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4.61Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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4.58Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.53Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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8.33University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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5.25Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.17Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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11.07Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.38Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Waldman | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 7.9% |
| Andrew Meleny | 15.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Laura Cuccio | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Gestal | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Cason | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Justin Marks | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin King | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 30.3% |
| Nick Belsito | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 13.7% |
| Sarah Fiske | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 37.3% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.