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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.39+5.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+5.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+2.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.45+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+3.08vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59+3.76vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27+2.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.29-2.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.15vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.09-3.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-3.31vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.22-4.84vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-3.35vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.52vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.89-4.79vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Dartmouth College2.3910.3%1st Place
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7.01Brown University2.378.0%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University2.409.7%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College2.067.6%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University2.4510.5%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island1.425.7%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University1.593.2%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University1.273.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University2.2910.8%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.2%1st Place
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7.46Boston College2.098.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.2%1st Place
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8.16Brown University2.225.7%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont0.872.9%1st Place
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12.48Boston University1.071.7%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.893.0%1st Place
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15.88Olin College of Engineering-0.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 10.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 3.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 22.7% | 9.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 5.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 9.7% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.