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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+7.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+6.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.50+4.39vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+1.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+5.48vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.74+0.45vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+2.48vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.08vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.89-2.94vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.22-5.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.11vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.01-2.84vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.99-7.56vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-7.30vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.55-7.49vs Predicted
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18-2.48-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.06Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.99Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.16North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.7Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.51Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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17.85-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 0.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 96.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.