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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+6.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+4.86vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+5.89vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.74+4.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+6.36vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+1.28vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01+3.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-1.34vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-3.34vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.46-1.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.16vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.22-6.67vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-3.07vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-5.27vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.69-7.72vs Predicted
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17-2.48-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.83North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.66Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.31Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.0%1st Place
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8.28Tulane University2.690.0%1st Place
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16.94-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 0.3% |
| Connor Bayless | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 0.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 0.3% |
| Richard Gleason | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 98.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.