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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+6.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+7.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+4.49vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+3.14vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.22+1.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25+0.28vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+0.01vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70+0.01vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.46+0.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50-1.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-3.85vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.03vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.01-3.07vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-5.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-4.39vs Predicted
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17-2.48-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.01Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.33Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.93North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.0%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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16.93-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larson | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 0.3% |
| Richard Gleason | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 0.3% |
| Luke Welker | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.