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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+6.01vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+6.24vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.46+6.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+6.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.22+0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+4.91vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.01+2.68vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.01-1.64vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.74-1.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.25-4.60vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.09-5.03vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-2.70vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.51vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.89-7.41vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-6.85vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-2.48-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.24Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.24Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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6.53Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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10.68North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.0%1st Place
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8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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16.93University of Oregon-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 0.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 0.2% |
| David Eastwood | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 24.0% | 0.6% |
| Adam Larson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Keiran James Golden | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 0.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.