← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.42+7.96vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.39+4.32vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.20+4.11vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.40+2.47vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.37+2.00vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.27+4.07vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.29-0.70vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.22+0.20vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.45-3.21vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-1.37vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.59-0.05vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.07+0.39vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.89-1.61vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.06-7.08vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.97vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.87-5.19vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.96University of Rhode Island1.425.1%1st Place
-
6.32Dartmouth College2.3910.5%1st Place
-
7.11Boston College2.208.2%1st Place
-
6.47Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
-
7.0Brown University2.377.5%1st Place
-
10.07Tufts University1.273.5%1st Place
-
6.3Yale University2.299.6%1st Place
-
8.2Brown University2.225.7%1st Place
-
5.79Harvard University2.4511.8%1st Place
-
8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.2%1st Place
-
10.95Northeastern University1.593.0%1st Place
-
12.39Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
-
11.39Connecticut College0.892.2%1st Place
-
6.92Bowdoin College2.069.2%1st Place
-
10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.6%1st Place
-
10.81University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
-
15.68Olin College of Engineering-0.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 9.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 5.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.