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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+3.64vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.67+6.34vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+1.49vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+0.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+0.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.05+4.44vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.04+0.31vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.16-1.04vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.71-0.71vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-3.77vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.48-1.85vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.62-3.13vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.39-0.73vs Predicted
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14Amherst College0.92-3.23vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.18-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.34Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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4.49Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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4.44Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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5.26Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.44Boston University1.050.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.29University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.27Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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10.77Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.54Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Meleny | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Cason | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Gabriel Salk | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 17.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Waldman | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
| Laura Cuccio | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Gestal | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Justin Marks | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Benjmain Berg | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin King | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 21.6% | 30.2% |
| Nick Belsito | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 11.7% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.