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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+7.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+8.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+6.53vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+5.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+3.58vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+0.31vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81+2.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71+1.34vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-4.32vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.74+3.49vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-3.18vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.08vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-1.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.06vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-4.98vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.53Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.58Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.68Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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13.49Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.01Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 25.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.