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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+7.93vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+3.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+3.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-1.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+2.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81+0.88vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75+0.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57+0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.80-1.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-3.84vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.71-3.71vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-2.14vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-2.59vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-2.57vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-4.99vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93Brown University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.47Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.3Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.41Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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13.43Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.6% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 24.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% |
| John Ped | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.