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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+7.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+4.89vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+5.38vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+1.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89+2.71vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+1.93vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-1.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-0.39vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98+1.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.75vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.81-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-5.28vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-1.74vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-3.72vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.74vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.11-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.52Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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13.26Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.28Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 23.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.