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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+6.84vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+5.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+5.79vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+4.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+4.07vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+1.86vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69+1.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-1.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.74+3.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.11+0.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.45vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-7.96vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-5.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-3.70vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.57-7.05vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.07Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.36Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.3Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.95Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 22.0% |
| Alex Abate | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 23.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.