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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+6.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+4.03vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.98+6.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.89+1.53vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00+0.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-0.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+3.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-3.18vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.12-4.00vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-3.29vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-5.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-5.80vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-2.77vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-4.84vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.11-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.03Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.27Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.53Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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13.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.16Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 16.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Alex Abate | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 26.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 19.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.