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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+8.00vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+7.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+5.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+4.02vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+1.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+0.61vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81+0.76vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-0.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.00-2.79vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.47-5.51vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-3.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-0.80vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-1.87vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.16vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.98-4.60vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.11Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.02Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.64Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.76Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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13.13Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.87Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.5% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Alex Abate | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 21.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 21.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.