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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.71+7.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+5.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+4.97vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+2.54vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+1.87vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89+0.43vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-0.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57+0.09vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-4.69vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.69-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-1.42vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.74-1.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.37vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-3.63vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-4.79vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.97Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.43Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.09Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.65Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.86Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.21Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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13.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 18.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% |
| Alex Abate | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.