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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+8.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+2.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+4.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+4.44vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.74+7.98vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+2.14vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.84vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69+1.24vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-1.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-0.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-2.80vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-6.89vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-5.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.17vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.98-4.61vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.31Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.44Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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9.2Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.9Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 20.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Alex Abate | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 25.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.