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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+5.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.71+6.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+5.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+3.80vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75+3.11vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+1.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89+0.52vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-1.50vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-0.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74+2.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.76vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-6.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.61vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-5.22vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-3.67vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-4.82vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.11-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.11Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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13.24Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.78Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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12.33Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.18Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
| Alex Abate | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 27.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.