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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.68+4.56vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.02+5.94vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.64+6.99vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.50+2.10vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+6.85vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.33+2.96vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.27+2.09vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.04+0.06vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.32-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.16-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.50-5.02vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.45-5.61vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-0.69-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.77-8.74vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-0.67-4.84vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.16-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Jacksonville University0.6811.2%1st Place
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7.94University of Miami0.025.9%1st Place
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9.99Florida Institute of Technology-0.643.5%1st Place
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6.1Rollins College0.5010.0%1st Place
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11.85Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.8%1st Place
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8.96Jacksonville University-0.334.5%1st Place
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9.09Embry-Riddle University-0.275.3%1st Place
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8.06Rollins College-0.046.2%1st Place
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6.88Jacksonville University0.328.3%1st Place
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8.34University of South Florida-0.165.5%1st Place
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5.98University of Miami0.5010.7%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida0.459.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Florida-0.692.5%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida0.7712.4%1st Place
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10.16Jacksonville University-0.673.1%1st Place
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15.19University of Central Florida-3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Thran | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Noah Scholtz | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 2.2% |
| Annie Samis | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 27.4% | 9.7% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Mason Howell | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Milo Fleming | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Mason Mattice | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Jay | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Justin Tribou | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 2.6% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 2.5% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.