← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.20+5.99vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.40+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.37+3.77vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.42+5.07vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.89+6.39vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.29+0.44vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.45-0.97vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.59+2.85vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.22-0.88vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-1.29vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.39-4.59vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.27-2.12vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.06-6.20vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.07-1.61vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.87-4.15vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-6.01vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.99Boston College2.208.9%1st Place
-
6.34Roger Williams University2.4010.1%1st Place
-
6.77Brown University2.378.0%1st Place
-
9.07University of Rhode Island1.425.7%1st Place
-
11.39Connecticut College0.892.8%1st Place
-
6.44Yale University2.298.6%1st Place
-
6.03Harvard University2.4510.9%1st Place
-
10.85Northeastern University1.592.8%1st Place
-
8.12Brown University2.225.6%1st Place
-
8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.7%1st Place
-
6.41Dartmouth College2.398.8%1st Place
-
9.88Tufts University1.273.4%1st Place
-
6.8Bowdoin College2.069.0%1st Place
-
12.39Boston University1.072.2%1st Place
-
10.85University of Vermont0.873.2%1st Place
-
9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.0%1st Place
-
15.95Olin College of Engineering-0.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Mason Stang | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 22.4% | 8.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 11.2% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.