Race 5B

bu-bridge-invitational-central-ser

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Gabriel Salk 14.2% 16.1% 12.6% 11.6% 9.7% 10.2% 7.5% 6.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Andrew Meleny 13.4% 17.7% 11.8% 11.4% 11.4% 9.1% 8.1% 5.9% 3.9% 3.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 9.6% 7.7% 10.7% 9.7% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.4% 7.6% 6.6% 4.5% 3.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Elizabeth Glivinski 13.8% 10.3% 11.9% 10.7% 10.1% 9.8% 8.9% 7.8% 6.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Ames Lyman 3.4% 3.8% 4.6% 4.2% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.8% 8.4% 9.2% 11.3% 11.1% 9.7% 8.0% 4.1%
Cameron Fraser 15.4% 13.1% 15.3% 12.8% 11.1% 8.8% 8.2% 6.5% 4.7% 1.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cason 5.1% 4.3% 4.2% 6.0% 4.5% 5.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.9% 10.7% 8.1% 10.3% 7.1% 6.1% 1.9%
Benjmain Berg 4.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.2% 6.9% 5.9% 6.2% 8.2% 7.9% 9.6% 9.4% 12.2% 7.9% 6.7% 2.1%
Alexander Gestal 5.7% 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.4% 10.1% 9.0% 7.7% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Laura Cuccio 4.7% 6.6% 6.2% 7.0% 8.3% 8.0% 9.0% 9.0% 11.0% 7.8% 7.5% 6.4% 5.6% 1.5% 1.4%
Jacob Waldman 2.5% 1.4% 3.0% 2.4% 3.6% 5.1% 4.9% 3.6% 6.8% 8.0% 9.9% 10.6% 14.4% 13.7% 10.1%
Nick Belsito 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.3% 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 5.2% 4.7% 6.6% 10.0% 11.4% 14.9% 15.8% 13.2%
Justin Marks 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% 5.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.6% 6.9% 9.0% 11.6% 11.5% 8.4% 8.5% 5.5% 2.5%
Moussa Diolombi 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 4.6% 6.7% 7.0% 11.3% 20.1% 35.4%
Benjamin King 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 3.3% 4.9% 6.6% 9.3% 12.1% 19.7% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.