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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+5.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+3.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+3.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.85vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+2.25vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75+1.03vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+4.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-0.52vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-4.65vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03+0.35vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.81-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-5.47vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.00-6.92vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-2.80vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-5.15vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.98-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.48Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.03Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.35Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.9% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Alex Abate | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 23.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 21.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.