← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.12+6.85vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.09+5.86vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.69+6.52vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.47+2.20vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.75+4.01vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.03+6.08vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.11+4.70vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.98+4.11vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.57+0.82vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.74+3.35vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.80-2.04vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.89-3.10vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.33vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.93-9.45vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.00-7.01vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.81-7.09vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-7.19vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.71-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.85Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.86Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.52Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
-
6.2Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.01Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
12.08Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.7University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.11Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
9.82Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
13.35Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.9Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
13.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
-
4.55Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
7.99Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.91Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.04Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 22.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Alex Abate | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 22.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 19.3% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.