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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+8.51vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+4.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+5.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+4.14vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+6.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+2.17vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81+0.74vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-0.58vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-3.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-6.23vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.94vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-0.05vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-2.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-3.25vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-7.84vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-3.37vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.80-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.07Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.17Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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4.77Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 20.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Alex Abate | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 25.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.