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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+6.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+6.61vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+4.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93-0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.71+3.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+1.06vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+3.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.69vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.89-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11+0.87vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98+0.64vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-3.32vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.75-5.22vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.57vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.80-7.04vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.12-9.30vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.74-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.95Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.78Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 19.1% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 16.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Alex Abate | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 22.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.