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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+7.84vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+5.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.92vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+4.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.72vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.01vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+1.57vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61+0.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36+0.39vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.02vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-1.24vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-5.84vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-6.36vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.35-2.03vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-5.50vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.28-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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11.5Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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16.28Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 17.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 4.3% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.