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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.79vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.89vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+8.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+0.97vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+1.89vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+1.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+1.45vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-1.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61-0.58vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.38-0.79vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-1.20vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.35-0.43vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-5.36vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.28+0.41vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-6.59vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.36-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.58Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.89Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.21Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.21Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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16.41Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 3.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 15.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 64.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.